Thursday, August 31, 2006

Rearming Hezbollah fast

I previously noted Hezbollah's estimated cost of U$180M for reconstruction, courtesy of Iranian funding. Consider the price of a Katyusha rocket on the black market. From 2001:

The Katyusha costs about $1,000 on the black market," says Tom Romesser, who heads TRW's space and technology division. "You can stop one with a Patriot missile, but you can't keep putting a $1 million weapon against a $1,000 threat."

Even if a Katyusha rocket were to cost $2K on the black market now, a mere U$8M would be sufficient to acquire 4,000 rockets. If even 10% of the U$180M were ultimately diverted to arms purchases (Hezbollah also runs construction companies, and thus can recycle profits), that would amount to quite a few rockets and launchers, allowing Hezbollah to rearm quickly for yet another round of massive rocket fire.

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