Tuesday, June 01, 2004

Keeping score

Iran is still playing coy about its enriched uranium manufacturing capabilities. It's brinkmanship. They're pushing the UN and the USA to see how much they can get away with. I therefore conclude that the lesson of Iraq was not a deterrent as US forces are effectively locked in place, fully extended, unable to redeploy rapidly, and thus incapable of exerting pressure in coercive diplomacy. Therefore, the US isn't deemed a credible threat.

Judging from the recent attack on foreign oil workers in Saudi Arabia, al Qaida is apparently playing a careful game of targeted oil infrastructure by killing non-Muslim Westerners while at the same time avoiding targeting the Saudi royal family or the refineries themselves in order to avoid the consolidation of opinion against them. The fact that three militants escaped three rings of security to freedom is troubling. Did someone on the inside give them information on how to get out? One source reported that a European was beheaded, his head hurled out a window. I'd hate to see that be verified as a trend, as it would mean they're copycats in an ugly way; in an earlier attack in Khobar, the body of an Westerner was dragged through the streets behind a car, perhaps in imitation of the desecration of contractors' bodies in Fallujah.

3 comments:

Jim said...

It seems a Buddhist farmer was beheaded in Thailand, apparently by Muslim insurgents. The responsible party seems intent on igniting sectarian conflict. Beheading as a media fad? Not good.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/3763085.stm

Jim said...
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Jim said...

Following up, the three who escaped used human shields according to Saudi authorities. Another source said they were let go after threatening to blow everything up.
http://thescotsman.scotsman.com/international.cfm?id=621532004

If reports are accurate, they were tracked afterward. Two militants were killed, though they may not have been the attackers.
http://thescotsman.scotsman.com/international.cfm?id=630382004