Friday, September 17, 2004

The waiting game

The chief of the US Army Reserve warned of a serious risk of running out of critical specialists. This is in line with the earlier reports of the Selective Service System preparing for the scenario of a skills-based draft, targeting computer skills and foreign languages.

It's clear that those fighting the USA are likely in a waiting game, prolonging conflict with the expectation that exhaustion will set in for the US armed forces. With the US less able to project force, they would be able to act more freely with fewer concerns about US intervention. From their vantage point, the greater the amount of US intervention now, the faster they can bring about such a state. Limits have been already reached. For instance, the USA cannot intervene in Sudan, as it doesn't have the forces to spare.

The USA is pushing to train local forces in nine countries in Africa and other countries in Central Asia, diverting more resources to training Iraqi police.

Such initiatives and cooperation can be interpreted as the outsourcing of security. Whatever it takes to reasonably avoid a draft in the US.

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